Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.012021 0.014653 0.017990 0.022643 0.029156 0.038265 0.052613
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.008501 0.011233 0.015145 0.021477 0.032186 0.051259 0.093139
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.006929 0.009637 0.013837 0.021381 0.036130 0.068428 0.167898
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.006056 0.008773 0.013268 0.022097 0.041807 0.095093 0.344327
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.005340 0.007973 0.012547 0.022187 0.046242 0.125308 0.727370
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.004664 0.007104 0.011487 0.021184 0.047424 0.148169 1.407666
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.004194 0.006510 0.010801 0.020760 0.050022 0.183362 3.671657
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.003961 0.006295 0.010796 0.021913 0.058490 0.275045 48.066780
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.003821 0.006225 0.011064 0.023865 0.071961 0.479390 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003690 0.006149 0.011297 0.025846 0.088477 0.918859 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003455 0.005836 0.010941 0.025977 0.096778 1.442416 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.003235 0.005526 0.010539 0.025831 0.103856 2.282870 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002906 0.004988 0.009586 0.023831 0.099236 2.678825 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002649 0.004579 0.008894 0.022564 0.098899 3.747897 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002481 0.004336 0.008566 0.022461 0.107359 8.386360 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002370 0.004200 0.008481 0.023228 0.125238 50.353048 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002243 0.004017 0.008243 0.023325 0.138400 1808.269101 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002088 0.003754 0.007756 0.022250 0.137683 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001970 0.003565 0.007439 0.021796 0.144054 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001918 0.003519 0.007505 0.023031 0.177370 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001892 0.003528 0.007727 0.025125 0.238687 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001864 0.003526 0.007921 0.027255 0.325329 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.001789 0.003409 0.007747 0.027396 0.368689 NaN NaN